| Will Hutchison 3 Maintain Its 3G Momentum in Austria and Denmark? |
| 2nd
March , 2005 ( see
below for all today's 3G news ) |
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H3G has admitted it needs a 20 - 25% share in local markets, and the analysis suggests that to achieve this share will be a tough proposition as many of those markets already have 4 to 7 mobile operators (including MVNOs) active in them. The report believes that Hutchison 3G can generally feel very bullish over its market success, especially in the UK, Italy, Sweden, Australia and Hong Kong. However, 'Hutchison 3 and Telecommunications International: to 2011 and beyond' however queries its likely success in Austria and Denmark. The report finds that in those markets in which Hutchison has had a head start have had a material impact upon the end-2004 market share. The report suggests that if Hutchison leaves it too long, it may prove almost impossible to commence operations at all in these markets, unless a different and novel mobile communications model is envisaged (e.g. servicing vertical enterprises or fostering MVNOs). Hutchison 3 and Telecommunications International: to 2011 and beyond is intended to provide greater breadth and depth than either a regional cellular markets report or an equity analyst report. The emphasis is very much on “operational analysis”. It looks at key operational and financial benchmarks including ARPU, churn, subscriptions, prepaid ratios, %age messaging & mobile internet revenues, number of base-stations for the UK, Sweden, Italy, Denmark, Austria, Thailand, India, Hong Kong and Australia 6-year forecasts at the country level for service revenue (voice, messaging, mobile content), base-station infrastructure deployment, handset & smartphone retail sales Manufacturing vendor mapping for Hutchison’s 3 & HTIL’s infrastructure, applications and handsets inventory 8 quarter ahead forecasts at the Hutchison Network Level for subscribers Clear perspective on Hutchison’s investment, operational & financial activities Comprehensive profiling of Hutchison’s mobile handset inventory as well as tariffs (prepaid, contract, data download & content) for 9 key markets Clear understanding of licensing and competitors for all 9 markets Questions Answered * What is the competitive landscape for each local Hutchison network like? .* How will the long-term market for subscriptions, handsets, usage and network revenues evolve over the next 6 years? * What has Hutchison been up to on the investment, disposals and operations front for the past 6 years? * How is Hutchison structuring its voice, messaging and content tariffs? * What manufacturing vendors has Hutchison lined up to build up its network infrastructure, applications and handsets? * What features do Hutchison’s current line-up of handsets offer? How are contract handsets priced versus prepaid? * What directions are Hutchison’s handset manufacturers taking in handset development? * What were Hutchison’s revenue, operating profit/loss, R&D spend, bad debt, net debt and capital expenditure for the past 5 years? And 3G? |
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