ASIA
China : The 3G market in China has great promise, but faces much uncertainty,
including the government's developing policies on the high-speed wireless
technology, reports In-Stat (http://www.in-stat.com). The number of
mobile subscribers in China will reach nearly 610 million in 2009,
with the percentage of 3G users ranging from 23%-58%, depending on
various competitive scenarios and operator strategies, the high-tech
market research firm says.
"In-Stat believes 3G licenses will be issued, at the earliest,
in the beginning of 2006, after an industry restructuring of wireless
network operators," said Anty Zheng, In-Stat analyst. "Three
3G licenses will be issued if China Unicom and China Netcom are to
be merged, and four licenses will be issued if no merger occurs."
A recent report
by In-Stat found the following:
-- WCDMA technology
will be the dominating 3G technology in China, while TD-SCDMA will
grow gradually over time.
-- Government
considerations will greatly influence factors such as technology maturity,
handset availability, system compatibility, global roaming capability,
and construction costs.
-- Voice will
still be the dominating service for 3G in China, while mobile Internet
access service will be the fastest-growing service.
The report, "China's
Road Into 3G" (#IN0502471CWW), covers the emerging market for
3G in China. It includes an overview of the present Chinese mobile
market, analysis of drivers and challenges of 3G service, and forecasts
of subscribers and service revenue through 2015.
About In-Stat
In-Stat (www.in-stat.com)
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forecasts of semiconductors and advanced communications equipment
and services. Our forecasts, analysis, and insights are derived from
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