|
The
U.S. telecommunications market for equipment and services will grow
by 7.6 percent in 2002, generating revenues of $713 billion, with enterprise
spending driving market growth," Telecommunications Industry Association
(TIA) President Matthew Flanigan today announced in findings of the
2002 Telecommunications Market Review and Forecast. "In 2003, we
project network infrastructure markets will grow as business and consumer
demand for content and collaboration taps existing network capacity."
The U.S. telecommunications market for equipment and services grew by
7.2 percent in 2001, generating revenues of $663 billion. Spending on
telecom equipment and software totaled $167 billion in 2001, down 2.8
percent from 2000. Spending on transport services rose 6.5 percent to
$303 billion in 2001, led by a 23.2 percent increase in wireless services.
Specialized services, which consist of selected high-speed Internet
access options (DSL and cable modems), unified messaging, video and
audio conferencing reached an estimated $9.2 billion in 2001, up 51.6
percent over 2000. Each component of this category recorded double-digit
growth in 2001, with high-speed Internet access leading the way with
a 78.7 percent gain.
"Although last year brought challenges to communications companies,
the industry fundamentals remain solid. We project high single-digit
growth in the U.S. market overall in 2002, led by strong surges in enterprise
spending on applications that make businesses more profitable and productive,"
stated TIA Vice President Mary Bradshaw, project director for this report.
Other major findings of the 2002 report include:
-- Spending on network equipment and facilities fell by an estimated
13.8 percent to $41 billion in 2001. An additional 10.8 percent drop
is expected in 2002, with the market expected to stabilize in 2003.
By 2004 and 2005, growth will return to high single-digit and double-digit
rates. For the 2001-2005 period, the network equipment and facilities
market is projected to expand at a 3 percent compound annual rate, rising
to $46 billion in 2005.
-- Capital expenditures by wireless carriers on infrastructure, research
and development, and licenses rose by 6.2 percent to $19.5 billion in
2001. A drop in capital spending is expected in 2002 reflecting the
fact that the infrastructure for these new services is established.
Beginning in 2003, resurgence in capital spending is anticipated at
growth rates in excess of 20 percent per year as research and implementation
of 3G broadband wireless technologies attracts resources.
-- Spending by enterprises on voice and data communications equipment
totaled an estimated $98 billion in 2001, up 1.2 percent over 2000.
Spending on PBXs, key systems, consumer equipment and voice processing
equipment declined, although IP PBXs increased. By 2004 and 2005, the
replacement cycle will kick in for voice equipment, and we expect large
increases in voice systems in those years, driven by IP system sales.
-- Spending on support services grew by an estimated 18.3 percent to
$199 billion in 2001. Services in support of network infrastructure
climbed 12.4 percent to $28 billion; support services for the wireless
infrastructure rose by 26.4 percent to $6 billion; and support services
for enterprise voice and data communications equipment grew by 19.1
percent to $165 billion.
-- For the 2001-2005 period, enterprise spending on services in support
of voice and data communications equipment will advance at a 15.1 percent
compound annual rate, reaching $289 billion in 2005. By 2005, support
services for network infrastructure equipment will total an estimated
$43 billion, expanding at an 11.1 percent compound annual rate from
2001 and support services for wireless infrastructure equipment will
total an estimated $12 billion, expanding at a 19 percent compound annual
rate.
-- Over the 2001-2005 period, spending in the U.S. telecommunications
industry will continue to increase at a projected 9.5 percent compound
annual rate, rising to $954 billion. The overall international telecommunications
market, including the export of professional services, will expand at
an 11.9 percent annual rate, reaching $1.8 trillion in 2005.
|